Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.018041 0.019357 0.020723 0.022246 0.023899 0.025641 0.027615
2026-01-25 0.015843 0.017743 0.019813 0.022240 0.025014 0.028094 0.031782
2026-02-01 0.014246 0.016461 0.018962 0.022005 0.025621 0.029800 0.035019
2026-02-08 0.012980 0.015376 0.018159 0.021648 0.025928 0.031038 0.037645
2026-02-15 0.012063 0.014596 0.017610 0.021488 0.026378 0.032385 0.040395
2026-02-22 0.011265 0.013885 0.017070 0.021261 0.026677 0.033502 0.042857
2026-03-01 0.010612 0.013300 0.016631 0.021105 0.027016 0.034644 0.045368
2026-03-08 0.010038 0.012772 0.016222 0.020943 0.027309 0.035705 0.047794
2026-03-15 0.009616 0.012412 0.015998 0.020994 0.027866 0.037120 0.050753
2026-03-22 0.009186 0.012012 0.015695 0.020910 0.028215 0.038246 0.053346
2026-03-29 0.008812 0.011667 0.015441 0.020871 0.028609 0.039433 0.056071
2026-04-05 0.008451 0.011319 0.015161 0.020772 0.028900 0.040473 0.058616
2026-04-12 0.008114 0.011000 0.014924 0.020742 0.029318 0.041762 0.061689
2026-04-19 0.007841 0.010759 0.014782 0.020843 0.029934 0.043379 0.065376
2026-04-26 0.007494 0.010396 0.014449 0.020642 0.030081 0.044286 0.067994
2026-05-03 0.007135 0.009999 0.014047 0.020314 0.030008 0.044838 0.070059
2026-05-10 0.006855 0.009703 0.013776 0.020165 0.030197 0.045798 0.072833
2026-05-17 0.006576 0.009397 0.013476 0.019955 0.030271 0.046569 0.075324
2026-05-24 0.006334 0.009134 0.013228 0.019809 0.030436 0.047483 0.078104
2026-05-31 0.006106 0.008883 0.012985 0.019659 0.030578 0.048360 0.080861
2026-06-07 0.005942 0.008722 0.012873 0.019707 0.031043 0.049791 0.084680
2026-06-14 0.005756 0.008520 0.012688 0.019628 0.031290 0.050858 0.087899
2026-06-21 0.005591 0.008343 0.012535 0.019592 0.031602 0.052045 0.091407